VARMAX-predictions generated by vmxmain: NOBS_io=66 SDIFF=0 DIFF_SWITCH=1 OPT_LAG=4 => 5 observations are lost DATANOBS_ORIG=175 optimal LAG=4 optimal DATA_FRACTION= 0.40000 optimal DATANOBS=70 Obs Opt Pred Error Obs Opt Pred Error 111 44.3000 50.9575 -6.6575 42.5000 43.3059 -0.8059 112 49.3000 48.6933 0.6067 46.5000 46.1318 0.3682 113 49.7000 45.7931 3.9069 48.8000 48.9498 -0.1498 114 70.1000 71.4474 -1.3474 58.7000 59.4196 -0.7196 115 56.8000 57.3510 -0.5510 49.6000 49.2065 0.3935 116 49.4000 48.2223 1.1777 46.2000 45.8909 0.3091 117 48.9000 45.1733 3.7267 47.5000 46.4663 1.0337 118 51.4000 58.1561 -6.7561 49.4000 50.5594 -1.1594 119 64.6000 66.1313 -1.5313 60.5000 61.1550 -0.6550 120 61.7000 55.7193 5.9807 53.2000 52.3106 0.8894 121 47.1000 45.1714 1.9286 45.6000 45.4307 0.1693 122 49.3000 52.3531 -3.0531 51.3000 51.7485 -0.4485 123 55.5000 59.8968 -4.3968 50.6000 51.1278 -0.5278 124 68.5000 67.1712 1.3288 61.8000 61.8433 -0.0433 125 65.9000 62.0769 3.8231 50.0000 49.2886 0.7114 126 48.3000 50.4775 -2.1775 48.4000 48.7090 -0.3090 127 53.7000 52.5803 1.1197 55.1000 55.3040 -0.2040 128 54.8000 55.6656 -0.8656 53.0000 53.2982 -0.2982 129 69.9000 68.1540 1.7460 63.2000 63.4194 -0.2194 130 60.3000 64.3034 -4.0034 53.6000 53.7950 -0.1950 131 50.5000 52.5107 -2.0107 51.9000 51.6963 0.2037 132 70.6000 62.0124 8.5876 67.3000 65.9361 1.3639 133 77.4000 76.5509 0.8491 64.0000 63.9672 0.0328 134 57.4000 57.8401 -0.4401 50.4000 50.7379 -0.3379 135 57.4000 60.7774 -3.3774 51.9000 52.3170 -0.4170 136 57.4000 55.0796 2.3204 53.4000 51.9698 1.4302 137 61.7000 60.8768 0.8232 58.1000 57.6272 0.4728 138 62.1000 67.7991 -5.6991 59.3000 61.4679 -2.1679 139 78.3000 82.2918 -3.9918 66.2000 66.8036 -0.6036 140 69.8000 77.4897 -7.6897 95.9000 97.4422 -1.5422 141 50.1000 50.7144 -0.6144 77.6000 77.8047 -0.2047 142 50.7000 47.4815 3.2185 93.8000 93.8371 -0.0371 143 41.4000 51.7902 -10.3902 79.6000 81.5179 -1.9179 144 46.4000 44.1162 2.2838 73.7000 73.0131 0.6869 145 43.9000 42.1136 1.7864 51.8000 52.8699 -1.0699 146 122.0000 122.2476 -0.2476 51.2000 51.3762 -0.1762 147 133.0000 132.8620 0.1380 53.6000 52.5972 1.0028 148 144.0000 139.8393 4.1607 56.1000 56.4945 -0.3945 149 155.0000 153.1749 1.8251 58.5000 59.1578 -0.6578 150 166.0000 162.5992 3.4008 60.9000 61.8883 -0.9883 151 55.3000 61.8610 -6.5610 33.2000 34.9208 -1.7208 152 54.6000 57.8577 -3.2577 37.9000 37.9043 -0.0043 153 65.5000 52.9691 12.5309 47.2000 44.2390 2.9610 154 76.3000 66.8146 9.4854 56.4000 52.8458 3.5542 155 66.5000 66.5415 -0.0415 43.0000 42.4400 0.5600 156 73.4000 79.7498 -6.3498 51.4000 52.2598 -0.8598 157 80.2000 82.0965 -1.8965 59.7000 59.9365 -0.2365 158 65.6000 70.6943 -5.0943 56.8000 58.2179 -1.4179 159 82.1000 84.0120 -1.9120 59.8000 60.6292 -0.8292 160 67.8000 64.8606 2.9394 49.2000 48.2592 0.9408 161 53.1000 50.4014 2.6986 46.6000 45.5831 1.0169 162 60.2000 51.3900 8.8100 49.9000 47.8737 2.0263 163 60.5000 62.9356 -2.4356 47.4000 47.8463 -0.4463 164 77.7000 82.5750 -4.8750 52.3000 53.0974 -0.7974 165 71.6000 74.5926 -2.9926 49.3000 49.7146 -0.4146 166 51.8000 52.3782 -0.5782 41.2000 41.4509 -0.2509 167 67.0000 59.9239 7.0761 44.2000 43.1323 1.0677 168 61.7000 65.7169 -4.0169 43.3000 43.7719 -0.4719 169 77.6000 81.3635 -3.7635 50.2000 50.5491 -0.3491 170 67.8000 62.8720 4.9280 43.9000 42.9165 0.9835 171 49.8000 48.5350 1.2650 39.6000 39.8932 -0.2932 172 52.5000 45.7530 6.7470 45.7000 44.2622 1.4378 173 58.7000 57.6484 1.0516 46.3000 46.1208 0.1792 174 76.0000 80.9942 -4.9942 55.2000 55.6373 -0.4373 175 69.4000 67.5877 1.8123 48.7000 47.7159 0.9841 176 69.5629 47.6858 177 62.9287 44.7962 178 65.5392 45.6240 179 64.6995 45.3352 180 65.2735 45.4331