Univariate error statistics Objective 3.8701e+04 Series: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Mean -0.0771 9.1017 2.4882 4.3061 -0.5153 0.1073 -6.0338 3.1150 6.6286 8.0774 22.6316 3.2928 8.5039 0.3898 3.3335 2.0441 3.8552 1.3186 1.9636 -2.7256 8.2080 7.4962 1.7110 2.0728 6.8179 1.2107 -1.5181 0.6974 2.7365 3.9619 2.2625 -1.0537 6.5411 Stdev 9.7991 28.5818 17.2220 31.4348 26.0599 7.6148 18.3882 14.4817 28.3427 32.7769 108.4894 21.8530 35.3443 7.9540 28.3957 21.1642 24.3188 20.4529 13.8262 19.7442 39.8408 32.2257 31.5835 33.5798 26.9802 18.6753 27.9357 19.8034 83.6026 18.4144 29.2093 18.1387 20.4985 Skewness -0.1113 0.0308 0.0205 -0.1480 0.1476 -0.2157 -0.2934 -0.1034 0.3029 0.3909 0.0060 0.0607 -0.3450 0.2630 0.1437 -0.0387 0.3627 -0.3226 0.4532 0.1809 0.3918 0.0092 0.0666 1.5692 0.1165 0.2648 -1.1620 -0.0092 -0.0971 0.9305 0.3346 -0.4038 -0.0977 Kurtosis 3.7219 3.5861 2.8782 3.3555 3.1504 4.9693 2.9413 2.7948 6.6146 2.9852 3.0108 2.8692 3.5106 2.7812 3.4844 3.1167 4.8695 4.1728 3.3879 4.3197 3.6401 2.9493 3.3034 16.2130 3.3633 3.4476 9.1927 3.8505 3.6062 4.8814 3.7513 7.1855 3.2347 MAPE 0.0078 0.0195 0.0120 0.0208 0.0184 0.0057 0.0213 0.0128 0.0257 0.0253 0.0441 0.0144 0.0203 0.0067 0.0179 0.0146 0.0156 0.0148 0.0107 0.0191 0.0335 0.0200 0.0205 0.0222 0.0175 0.0141 0.0212 0.0155 0.0344 0.0128 0.0172 0.0164 0.0139 RMSE 0.6185 1.8937 1.0984 2.0027 1.6452 0.4807 1.2218 0.9351 1.8374 2.1310 6.9957 1.3950 2.2948 0.5027 1.8047 1.3421 1.5542 1.2937 0.8815 1.2581 2.5677 2.0886 1.9964 2.1236 1.7567 1.1812 1.7659 1.2507 5.2797 1.1890 1.8492 1.1468 1.3584 ErrorAngl 0.0099 0.0230 0.0147 0.0251 0.0227 0.0075 0.0250 0.0154 0.0339 0.0304 0.0441 0.0178 0.0233 0.0084 0.0222 0.0187 0.0208 0.0188 0.0138 0.0251 0.0432 0.0234 0.0252 0.0346 0.0207 0.0179 0.0296 0.0202 0.0416 0.0165 0.0224 0.0218 0.0166 Runs -5.4386 -7.6870 -6.5174 -6.7188 -5.2878 -5.8180 -7.7993 -6.8291 -8.1906 -8.3703 -9.1720 -6.4418 -8.4286 -6.1950 -6.1657 -4.7271 -7.5123 -4.1129 -5.2443 -7.3942 -6.8036 -5.9697 -5.4059 -4.7998 -8.8719 -7.4602 -5.0418 -7.3222 -8.2212 -6.4119 -6.3233 -5.6124 -9.2856 chi2 5.9445 3.6176 0.1720 2.2295 1.1436 42.3345 3.6234 0.8838 139.9181 6.3677 0.0027 0.3318 7.6754 3.3804 3.3040 0.2040 41.8873 18.6641 10.1272 19.5064 10.6652 0.0304 1.1439 1921.1649 1.9398 5.0080 455.7395 7.5390 4.2214 72.9486 10.5460 189.2761 0.9711 chi2_p 0.0512 0.1639 0.9176 0.3280 0.5645 0.0000 0.1634 0.6428 0.0000 0.0414 0.9986 0.8471 0.0215 0.1845 0.1917 0.9030 0.0000 0.0001 0.0063 0.0001 0.0048 0.9849 0.5644 0.0000 0.3791 0.0818 0.0000 0.0231 0.1212 0.0000 0.0051 0.0000 0.6154 chi2c 6.6605 4.8144 0.0244 2.6737 1.3804 29.9827 4.1032 0.6991 71.2370 7.6214 0.1535 0.1820 5.8533 4.1792 3.8406 0.6012 25.1390 13.0214 8.3522 16.4744 7.4007 0.0351 1.8979 161.7960 2.5795 4.3599 68.0014 8.5961 5.1216 29.5572 7.6420 83.0704 1.5031 chi2c_p 0.0358 0.0901 0.9879 0.2627 0.5015 0.0000 0.1285 0.7050 0.0000 0.0221 0.9261 0.9130 0.0536 0.1237 0.1466 0.7404 0.0000 0.0015 0.0154 0.0003 0.0247 0.9826 0.3872 0.0000 0.2753 0.1130 0.0000 0.0136 0.0772 0.0000 0.0219 0.0000 0.4716 f 3.0056 18.6801 3.6655 5.7375 6.7533 17.2677 30.1767 7.6497 10.5513 9.4789 12.7785 11.1765 16.8218 6.9607 8.5631 10.9453 13.6822 1.7620 12.1986 25.2722 9.8810 30.3096 15.5586 0.4864 23.4666 9.3522 4.2191 5.8655 9.8550 35.3207 22.3657 10.4197 17.1021 f_p 0.0119 0.0000 0.0032 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.1213 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.7863 0.0000 0.0000 0.0011 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 chi2a 14.2142 67.8217 17.1169 25.7745 29.7832 64.0341 93.6135 33.2007 43.5552 39.8486 50.8414 45.6551 62.8045 30.5838 36.5732 44.8840 53.6496 8.5379 48.9953 83.5898 41.2544 93.8679 59.2283 2.4177 79.5570 39.4015 19.4962 26.2881 41.1641 102.8710 76.9976 43.1078 63.5795 chi2a_p 0.0143 0.0000 0.0043 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.1290 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.7888 0.0000 0.0000 0.0016 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 Multivariate error statistics Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) = 200.973189317951550 Schwartz-Rissanen Criterion (SR) = 202.411683852888070 Hannan-Quinn Criterion (HQ) = 201.551943920215880 Univariate error statistics for the forecast period Series: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Mean 12.7832 -97.7516 -8.9300 -10.3749 24.5776 -4.6817 -7.6582 9.7433 -29.8365 69.4399 -19.2894 -24.7925 -99.4278 13.3397 8.8928 -20.2250 3.5218 20.7132 17.1425 38.8578 -5.3871 71.4345 33.1631 25.6688 38.3031 14.6381 15.7468 -9.0464 -34.3446 44.9606 49.9404 26.0670 0.6656 Stdev 4.0697 57.3537 14.6598 35.7043 26.1009 8.9986 1.0689 7.8337 7.7874 51.5094 97.3608 28.0503 33.9926 4.4703 21.5542 24.9466 50.6340 6.7319 6.8193 19.2659 7.0438 11.5618 7.5040 10.6629 10.5501 14.4224 7.7150 6.9271 39.0998 11.6950 15.9927 10.3257 20.0814 Skewness -1.0479 -0.0418 0.3936 -0.3650 -0.1758 -0.4219 -1.3255 -0.6322 -0.1407 0.3503 -0.3711 -0.5358 0.4092 0.0121 -0.1992 0.1151 -0.1153 0.0138 -0.5028 -0.5938 -0.1276 -0.1566 0.4546 -0.7296 0.0369 -0.2405 0.3487 -0.4359 0.3514 1.3569 -1.0379 -1.3298 0.3699 Kurtosis 2.4837 1.9307 2.4806 1.6336 1.8235 1.4195 3.0456 2.5954 1.5054 2.0469 1.4817 1.9953 1.8894 1.4939 2.4423 2.2178 1.6743 1.5852 2.0204 2.1517 1.5395 1.7043 2.3267 2.0897 1.4039 2.1652 1.8637 2.1332 2.1582 3.0766 2.7322 3.0489 1.4588 MAPE 0.0120 0.0569 0.0101 0.0185 0.0248 0.0063 0.0137 0.0135 0.0589 0.0377 0.0161 0.0166 0.0431 0.0125 0.0124 0.0181 0.0244 0.0192 0.0157 0.0588 0.0090 0.0395 0.0217 0.0205 0.0222 0.0135 0.0166 0.0079 0.0186 0.0341 0.0333 0.0382 0.0122 RMSE 5.9441 49.3699 7.0947 15.0165 15.1596 4.1641 3.4515 5.3670 13.7021 37.2679 39.8883 15.7742 46.4979 6.2279 9.4947 13.4679 20.3147 9.6467 8.1372 19.0098 3.7071 32.2795 15.1317 12.2462 17.6418 8.7256 7.6887 4.9036 21.9207 20.6440 23.2321 12.3676 8.0381 ErrorAngl 0.0034 0.0289 0.0092 0.0214 0.0203 0.0075 0.0018 0.0088 0.0131 0.0253 0.0178 0.0153 0.0129 0.0038 0.0134 0.0153 0.0272 0.0056 0.0056 0.0269 0.0086 0.0056 0.0044 0.0077 0.0054 0.0103 0.0073 0.0054 0.0148 0.0079 0.0097 0.0138 0.0131 Runs 2.4394 2.4394 2.8402 0.5636 2.8402 0.5636 2.4394 1.8074 2.4394 2.4394 2.0665 2.8402 2.4394 2.4394 1.8074 2.8402 0.5636 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 1.8074 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 2.8402 2.4394 2.4394 2.8402 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 0.5636