Univariate error statistics Objective 5.1790e+04 Series: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Mean 0.4137 1.4815 0.4805 5.7827 0.0332 0.5531 -0.0112 -1.0719 -1.2183 -0.7962 6.1335 0.8381 0.1747 0.0609 2.2767 1.2292 2.9179 2.5000 0.0806 0.4741 4.6557 4.4943 2.4295 -2.4177 2.5448 1.1410 0.4416 -0.3115 1.9774 -0.1370 0.9321 0.1358 1.1968 Stdev 9.5599 22.5317 16.0695 32.6316 25.7551 7.7384 12.6934 11.3619 20.8119 27.8803 86.0971 20.9515 24.6109 7.9406 28.9897 21.2681 21.4770 23.2357 12.3702 14.6214 35.4928 37.3660 30.4925 42.6605 20.4747 15.2466 23.8846 19.8398 74.6243 17.7437 24.6152 15.9569 18.0894 Skewness 0.1788 0.0580 0.2296 0.3141 0.1117 -0.0826 -0.2007 0.2017 0.4811 0.0136 0.4761 0.1015 0.4119 -0.1026 0.3320 -0.0624 1.1669 0.2241 0.1550 -0.5354 0.3473 0.7429 0.2955 -0.6602 0.3434 0.3061 -1.0519 0.1133 0.0583 0.0088 0.2975 -0.3118 0.8047 Kurtosis 3.3295 3.4140 3.6195 4.0060 2.9211 3.1029 3.7074 4.6408 10.8480 3.1897 3.9563 2.5263 4.1216 2.4585 3.7204 3.6892 7.8758 3.7339 3.3904 4.2097 4.5533 5.2772 3.0551 12.7018 4.1530 3.8173 10.8153 5.0445 3.7134 2.6823 3.3646 4.6207 4.8817 MAPE 0.0076 0.0143 0.0106 0.0201 0.0184 0.0061 0.0139 0.0095 0.0188 0.0206 0.0255 0.0140 0.0122 0.0070 0.0169 0.0144 0.0127 0.0166 0.0097 0.0148 0.0279 0.0190 0.0199 0.0239 0.0115 0.0111 0.0186 0.0148 0.0284 0.0129 0.0148 0.0153 0.0109 RMSE 0.6064 1.4310 1.0188 2.1003 1.6321 0.4917 0.8044 0.7232 1.3212 1.7676 5.4700 1.3288 1.5597 0.5032 1.8428 1.3501 1.3736 1.4810 0.7839 0.9271 2.2686 2.3851 1.9385 2.7078 1.3075 0.9689 1.5139 1.2574 4.7308 1.1245 1.5610 1.0113 1.1489 ErrorAngl 0.0096 0.0178 0.0136 0.0259 0.0224 0.0077 0.0172 0.0121 0.0250 0.0259 0.0340 0.0170 0.0162 0.0084 0.0225 0.0187 0.0183 0.0213 0.0123 0.0186 0.0381 0.0265 0.0242 0.0437 0.0155 0.0146 0.0253 0.0203 0.0370 0.0159 0.0188 0.0192 0.0145 Runs -1.2232 -0.6258 0.0167 -0.9913 -0.7136 -0.8410 0.7633 -0.0852 -1.6470 -1.5199 -1.3929 -1.5227 -0.9916 -1.2659 -2.2636 -0.5354 -0.8644 -1.6506 -0.1257 0.1203 -0.4735 -0.7136 -1.7776 -0.1012 -2.5425 -2.1577 -1.1417 -3.0401 -2.7927 -3.5547 -0.3631 -2.1444 0.1532 chi2 2.4434 1.9106 6.1441 14.5365 0.5802 0.3917 6.8355 29.5019 646.0088 0.3797 18.8205 2.7443 20.0102 3.4654 9.9171 5.0698 301.9425 7.6414 2.5680 26.9697 29.9169 76.3952 3.6399 990.6303 18.6113 10.7733 676.8918 43.7222 5.4001 1.0461 5.0323 31.1590 63.3529 chi2_p 0.2947 0.3847 0.0463 0.0007 0.7482 0.8221 0.0328 0.0000 0.0000 0.8271 0.0001 0.2536 0.0000 0.1768 0.0070 0.0793 0.0000 0.0219 0.2769 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.1620 0.0000 0.0001 0.0046 0.0000 0.0000 0.0672 0.5927 0.0808 0.0000 0.0000 chi2c 2.6738 2.8744 5.6099 10.5494 0.5438 0.7036 6.5307 22.6816 193.0794 0.9715 10.8465 2.7517 12.0639 3.7107 7.2756 6.1613 47.6851 6.9104 2.9921 13.6526 19.1339 25.1537 3.7461 234.2249 12.5703 8.1491 117.0632 32.8567 6.4969 0.6347 4.2783 20.8742 22.8852 chi2c_p 0.2627 0.2376 0.0605 0.0051 0.7619 0.7034 0.0382 0.0000 0.0000 0.6153 0.0044 0.2526 0.0024 0.1564 0.0263 0.0459 0.0000 0.0316 0.2240 0.0011 0.0001 0.0000 0.1537 0.0000 0.0019 0.0170 0.0000 0.0000 0.0388 0.7281 0.1178 0.0000 0.0000 f 0.9273 0.8284 0.4255 5.1010 1.8617 1.9323 3.3509 1.8206 1.7226 2.4316 8.4697 1.3012 4.7129 1.5967 3.9150 0.1580 1.7950 6.4982 0.8815 0.5738 5.1245 18.5112 4.9740 2.6498 0.2270 1.5229 0.0408 3.3294 2.2903 6.7287 1.5103 3.1370 13.9339 f_p 0.4639 0.5305 0.8307 0.0002 0.1017 0.0896 0.0060 0.1094 0.1300 0.0357 0.0000 0.2640 0.0004 0.1616 0.0020 0.9774 0.1145 0.0000 0.4941 0.7201 0.0002 0.0000 0.0002 0.0236 0.9506 0.1833 0.9991 0.0063 0.0465 0.0000 0.1872 0.0092 0.0000 chi2a 4.5682 4.0893 2.1177 23.1684 9.0006 9.3288 15.7346 8.8093 8.3513 11.6245 36.1902 6.3618 21.5622 7.7607 18.1849 0.7908 8.6896 28.7633 4.3464 2.8470 23.2652 67.2267 22.6454 12.6134 1.1343 7.4127 0.2049 15.6400 10.9793 29.6591 7.3530 14.7912 54.3193 chi2a_p 0.4708 0.5366 0.8326 0.0003 0.1090 0.0966 0.0076 0.1169 0.1379 0.0403 0.0000 0.2726 0.0006 0.1699 0.0027 0.9776 0.1221 0.0000 0.5007 0.7236 0.0003 0.0000 0.0004 0.0273 0.9510 0.1917 0.9991 0.0080 0.0518 0.0000 0.1957 0.0113 0.0000 Multivariate error statistics Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) = 200.290094298214480 Schwartz-Rissanen Criterion (SR) = 202.594478747384580 Hannan-Quinn Criterion (HQ) = 201.217225457181570 Univariate error statistics for the forecast period Series: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Mean 37.1986 -74.3305 24.6590 -4.6672 25.3460 23.7052 -18.0605 -8.0993 -26.3293 28.0703 648.1934 75.3359 4.6693 12.4654 14.0061 115.7603 148.5846 16.3267 10.9864 15.4308 3.8536 81.9656 -22.4830 22.2834 109.0528 41.4606 3.2714 41.0916 -88.5084 94.5538 9.7231 2.1943 -5.6722 Stdev 11.0233 48.6678 25.6486 31.0469 24.9062 6.4244 6.7616 8.3991 6.9256 38.8355 321.5171 27.0227 19.9273 6.2984 13.0598 67.6703 49.5997 14.9235 7.6128 10.2185 10.4380 22.6328 42.6734 21.3848 48.1328 28.2767 15.7586 16.6616 56.0807 33.9544 16.8604 7.8405 14.2842 Skewness -1.0105 0.5656 -0.8312 -0.3947 -0.2452 -0.5672 0.1793 -0.1262 -0.6079 1.0733 -0.3868 -0.8536 0.3790 -0.2940 0.0494 -0.5355 -0.6829 0.0879 0.4113 -0.9371 -0.0329 0.6044 0.2350 0.2300 -0.6981 0.2390 0.2994 -0.8783 0.3555 -0.5511 0.1843 -1.3189 0.3814 Kurtosis 2.5939 2.1474 2.4214 1.7316 2.2330 2.3038 1.3475 1.7529 2.2386 2.7801 2.0108 2.5882 1.6697 1.9169 1.6316 1.5125 2.4469 1.4605 1.5881 2.6309 1.5344 2.2950 1.6132 1.4960 2.0209 1.8733 1.9262 2.4112 1.2347 1.6871 1.4997 3.0165 1.4215 MAPE 0.0349 0.0433 0.0219 0.0164 0.0256 0.0220 0.0323 0.0113 0.0520 0.0172 0.1305 0.0462 0.0066 0.0117 0.0103 0.0796 0.0893 0.0151 0.0101 0.0242 0.0123 0.0453 0.0246 0.0178 0.0631 0.0329 0.0132 0.0359 0.0378 0.0718 0.0094 0.0100 0.0097 RMSE 17.2102 38.5224 15.0622 12.5929 15.0909 10.9083 8.5177 4.9403 12.0963 19.9725 317.1288 35.3827 8.2399 6.1175 8.1562 58.4189 69.3476 9.4311 5.7804 8.0205 4.5169 37.7575 19.8106 13.1332 52.4327 21.7193 6.4710 19.5479 45.4968 44.4134 8.0244 3.2861 6.2515 ErrorAngl 0.0096 0.0247 0.0163 0.0186 0.0194 0.0055 0.0105 0.0093 0.0119 0.0194 0.0628 0.0156 0.0077 0.0053 0.0081 0.0446 0.0297 0.0125 0.0063 0.0139 0.0127 0.0114 0.0247 0.0155 0.0262 0.0206 0.0150 0.0136 0.0210 0.0245 0.0101 0.0103 0.0093 Runs 2.4394 2.4394 1.8074 0.5636 2.8402 2.4394 2.4394 1.8074 2.4394 1.8074 2.4394 2.4394 0.5636 2.4394 1.8074 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 1.8074 0.5636 2.4394 0.5636 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 0.5636 2.4394 2.4394 2.4394 2.0665 1.8074 0.5636